Doomsday Clock left at 90 seconds to midnight as climate heat bites
Plus, annual proxy season kicks off with Big Oil on the offensive
In today’s edition:
— The Doomsday Clock is a symbol of scientific concern, and it’s as bad as ever
— Expectations were low for climate proxy fights this year, until Exxon started one
— Toyota chief has startling lowball prediction for EV markets share
— Watch out Yankee fans; New York is getting hotter and a lot wetter
— The EU is removing carbon offsets from product climate claims
— Peak oil, and peak gas, both coming this decade, IEA predicts
The annual Doomsday Clock announcement, for decades a symbol of the scientific community’s concern about humanity destroying itself, is sometimes derided by critics as a stunt. But the people who run The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, founded by Albert Einstein (with help from Robert Oppenheimer) are deadly serious about it.
I support the Chicago-based group and often work with their marketing team, and I’ve watched over the past few years as traditional concerns over nuclear annihilation — made worse recently by wars in Ukraine and Gaza — have combined with rising worries about climate change, and disruptive technologies such as AI.
The Bulletin was one of the first magazines to report on climate change, stretching all the way back to the 1970s. Its announcement today that its 22-member science security board was keeping the clock at 90 seconds to midnight — the closest to annihilation ever — for a second year prominently mentioned last year’s record global heat, along with floods and fires.
While the clock can, and has, been set back before during years of relative stability, last year was certainly not one of them. In addition to climate change, the threat of AI rises with every new breakthrough, and of course, the Israel-Hamas war that erupted in October is new from last year’s announcement.
The clock is just a symbol, but an important one. Once a year the scientific community actually puts a number on the threat to the world, expressed in ways we can all understand, in seconds and minutes. It’s worth paying attention to. And it is probably just a coincidence that the Christopher Nolan movie Oppenheimer garnered 13 Oscar nominations this morning, including best picture.
Don’t forget to contact me directly if you have suggestions or ideas at dcallaway@callawayclimateinsights.com.
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